news analysis advocacy
No Easy Victories: African Liberation
and American Activists over a Half Century
New book discount offer!
tips on searching
   the web allafrica.com

 

 

Visit the AfricaFocus
Country Pages

Algeria
Angola
Benin
Botswana
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cameroon
Cape Verde
Central Afr. Rep.
Chad
Comoros
Congo (Brazzaville)
Congo (Kinshasa)
Côte d'Ivoire
Djibouti
Egypt
Equatorial Guinea
Eritrea
Ethiopia
Gabon
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Kenya
Lesotho
Liberia
Libya
Madagascar
Malawi
Mali
Mauritania
Mauritius
Morocco
Mozambique
Namibia
Niger
Nigeria
Rwanda
São Tomé
Senegal
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
Somalia
South Africa
South Sudan
Sudan
Swaziland
Tanzania
Togo
Tunisia
Uganda
Western Sahara
Zambia
Zimbabwe

Get AfricaFocus Bulletin by e-mail!         Read more on |Africa Economy & Development||Africa Debt|
URL for this file: http://www.africafocus.org/docs05/dbt0501b.php

Print this page


Visit AfricaFocus Bookshop US | UK

Africa: Multilateral Debt Cancellation

AfricaFocus Bulletin
Jan 18, 2005 (050118)
(Reposted from sources cited below)

Editor's Note

"Given the urgency and need for immediate action, we urge the G8 to begin immediately and in particular for G7 finance ministers to reach agreement on 100 percent multilateral debt relief at their February 4th meeting," African finance ministers said in Cape Town after concluding a meeting with British finance minister Gordon Brown. But despite Brown's high-profile African visit, accompanied by pledges of debt cancellation and increased aid, debt campaigners still have questions about the details of Britain's plan and the will of other rich countries to act.

A new briefing for the Debt and Development Coalition Ireland, excerpted below, noted that "various proposals for multilateral debt cancellation have now been put on the table by G7 countries - the UK and US. ... Whilst this is very encouraging, in some ways these proposals are an extension of the discredited HIPC initiative and suffer from some of the same limitations such as limited country lists and the lack of a fair and transparent procedure to deal with all unpayable debt."

Another AfricaFocus Bulletin sent out today contains statements on debt from the African Social Forum in December and from a submission by the UK Jubilee Debt Campaign to Prime Minister Tony Blair's Commission for Africa. For related news on debt, see http://allafrica.com/debt. For previous AfricaFocus Bulletins on the topic, see http://www.africafocus.org/debtexp.php.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Thanks to those subscribers who have already sent in a voluntary subscription payment this year to support AfricaFocus Bulletin. And a reminder to all that this free resource depends on voluntary support from subscribers. For details, please visit http://www.africafocus.org/support.php

++++++++++++++++++++++end editor's note+++++++++++++++++++++++

Multilateral Debt Cancellation: a Briefing by Sony Kapoor

Jubilee Research at the New Economics Foundation For Debt and Development Coalition Ireland

December 2004

[Excerpts. Full text, including graphs, available at http://www.debtireland.org/resources/papers-briefing-Multilateral-Debt-Cancellation.htm]

1. Background

Debt owed to the IMF, World Bank and other multilateral banks[1] has grown rapidly in recent years and these are now significant creditors of low income countries. Because there are serious consequences for countries which default on payments to these bodies, multilateral debt is the most onerous debt.

Campaigns for debt cancellation through the 90s pressed for cancellation of debt owed to multilateral institutions. Partly in response to this, the World Bank and the IMF launched the Heavily Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) Initiative in 1996 and the Enhanced HIPC in 1999. This initiative aimed to enable countries to achieve debt sustainability but was very limited in what it actually achieved and defective in the way it did this. While it did result in some debt being cancelled, it was a far cry from the cancellation of unpayable debt called for by Jubilee 2000 debt campaign which aimed to give a fresh start to the new millennium to debt burdened countries.

Renewed calls for cancellation of unpayable multilateral debt were for many years ignored until public pressure has finally put it on the G-7 agenda. This is a belated recognition of the seriousness of the debt-poverty trap that many of the poorest countries in the world face. Various proposals for multilateral debt cancellation have now been put on the table by G7 countries - the UK and US.

A Fair and Transparent method to deal with unpayable debt

Whilst this is very encouraging, in some ways these proposals are an extension of the discredited HIPC initiative and suffer from some of the same limitations such as limited country lists and the lack of a fair and transparent procedure to deal with all unpayble debt. Debt campaigners have long been advocating a systemic resolution to the problems of unpayable sovereign debt. This is embodied in the proposal for a Fair and Transparent Arbitration Process (FTAP, also known as Jubilee Framework).

The FTAP seeks to

  • enshrine the principle that basic human rights take precedence over creditor rights,
  • ascertain the legitimacy of creditor claims, identifying those which may be odious [2]
  • give the affected people a right to be heard.

The arbitration panel which would decide whether and how much debt should be repaid would be independent and not under the control of creditors.

Under such a framework the level of debt which a country can repay would be linked to human development indices/human rights rather than arbitrary debt service/export ratios[3]. The adoption of a FTAP would also help make lending more responsible, as lenders would have to take responsibility for irresponsible or illegitimate lending, reduce the moral hazard[4] and make debt reduction available to countries that need it rather than restricting it to arbitrary lists.

The call for cancellation of unpayable multilateral debt and for the establishment of a fair and transparent procedure to deal with debt mutually reinforce each other. Cancellation of unpayable multilateral debt can be seen as a step towards the establishment of a FTAP as the need for further debt cancellation for the poorest countries has already been clearly established based on the recognition that the poorest countries would not otherwise be able to meet Millennium Development Goals[5].

Cancellation of unpayable multilateral debt will set a precedent for the human rights (or need based financing) approach to debt cancellation - a central theme of the FTAP. This in turn would highlight the need to extend debt cancellation to other poor countries that are short of resources to meet the MDGs or where creditor rights are being implemented at the cost of human rights. The UN Millennium Campaign points out that many developing countries are saddled with such high levels of debt that paying off just the annual interest costs more than what is spent on health care and education combined.[6]

Growing burden of multilateral debt

Multilateral debt has grown significantly over the past few years, both in terms of amounts outstanding and as a share of total debt outstanding. This is partly because multilateral institutions are cancelling less debt than other creditors. While most G7 countries are cancelling 100% of debt owed to them, the MFIs are cancelling only a third of debt owed to them. Also, since multilateral development banks and the IMF are treated as preferred creditors most multilateral debt is serviced regularly. This means that compared to other forms of debt relief, multilateral debt cancellation is most efficient as each dollar of debt cancelled results in an equivalent benefit for the debtor country. For other forms of debt, cancellation may not release as much because a significant proportion of this debt is not being repaid regularly in any case.

Irresponsible lending

Multilateral financial institutions (MFIs) are subject to a moral hazard under the current system and this has resulted in some irresponsible lending. As there is agreement internationally that multilateral debts must be serviced, donor countries have provided grants to ensure that debts to these institutions do not fall into arrears. A report by the Netherlands highlights this point: 'Bilateral donor funds were used on a large scale to bail out multilateral creditors. Thanks to this bailout International Financial Institutions avoided a substantial part of the cost of their imprudent lending policies which caused moral hazard'[7] . For example, in the case of the Democratic Republic of Congo, the institutions continued to lend to the Mobutu regime despite knowing that a large chunk of the funds were being diverted by the dictator into his personal accounts. If they had known that they would be held responsible for this and other irresponsible lending decisions and stood the risk of losing money, then they may have acted differently.

2. Why is multilateral debt cancellation so important?

Multilateral debt has grown significantly over the past few years, both in terms of amounts outstanding and as a share of total debt. Multilateral creditors such as the World Bank, IMF, African Development Bank are now the largest creditors for most poor countries - especially those that are included under the HIPC initiative.

For the whole group of low income countries[8] - 61 countries with a Gross National Income (GNI) less than $735 per capita - external debt outstanding has gone up 430% since 1980 and now amounts to $523 billion. Debt owed to multilateral institutions has increased 793% to $154 billion over the same period and now accounts for 30% of the total debt owed by the low income group of countries.

For the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries, external debt has gone up 320% since 1980 to $189 billion. Debt owed to multilateral institutions has increased 800% to $70 billion so it now constitutes a full 37% of the total debt up from 14% in 1980.

For low income countries including non-HIPCs the biggest increase in multilateral debt happened between 1980 and 1994 when it increased by 684% from $19 billion to $130 billion. This was partly as a result of the debt crisis of the 1980s when private debts were en-masse converted to multilateral debts as poor countries used loans from MFIs to repay some of the private creditors that they could not otherwise afford to repay.

The preferred creditor status of the multilateral institutions ensures that almost all debt owed to them is serviced regularly. This is different from the debt owed to bilateral and private sector creditors, significant proportions of which are in arrears - not serviced regularly by resource poor countries.

So cancellation of bilateral and private sector debt may sometimes be just a paper transaction involving cancellation of debt that was not being repaid in any case. Such a transaction while effective in reducing debt outstanding may not free up any resources. The cancellation of multilateral debt, on the other hand, almost always frees up resources (cash that would have otherwise gone into servicing debt) and reduces debt overhang.

This means that compared with the cancellation of other forms of debt, multilateral debt cancellation frees up more resources and hence is more efficient.

3. What is happening to multilateral debt?

As the graph illustrates the share of multilateral debt for low income countries and HIPCs has been steadily increasing. In the case of HIPCs this has rapidly climbed from 28% of the total debt in 1997 to 37% by 2002 - a rise of 9% in just five years. The completion of the HIPC initiative would see this ratio rise to 40% ...

For the first 27 countries that reached decision or completion point the share of multilateral debt is expected to be 61% after the completion of the HIPC initiative up from 38% before the HIPC initiative. Multilateral debt will be by far the largest component of residual debt for most countries that will reach HIPC completion point i.e. successfully pass through the HIPC process. The World Bank's concessional lending arm, the International Development Association (IDA) is now the single largest creditor for most completion point countries.

This has come about as a result of the failure of the burden sharing mechanism under HIPC. This central principle of the HIPC process implied that all the creditors would share the burden of the debt cancellation equally. While G7 countries have committed themselves to cancelling 100% of the HIPC debts owed to them the MFIs are cancelling less than a third (See Graph). Of the money mobilized thus far for multilateral debt cancellation, more than half has come from bilateral funding and of the rest an even larger proportion is expected to be funded not by the multilaterals' own resources but through even more bilateral contributions. This has the effect of turning grants into loans[9] - as the money contributed by the donor countries is then recycled as additional loans by the institutions.

The Multilateral Financial Institutions have pleaded poverty saying that any additional debt cancellation through the use of their resources would seriously endanger their financial soundness and sustainability. While trying to highlight their self proclaimed paucity of resources, the MFIs have sought to underplay their considerable financial strength, which is underpinned by their distinctive political and financial structure and their special role within the global economy.

... only a small proportion (less than a third) of the HIPC debt owed to Multilateral Financial Institutions will be cancelled under the HIPC initiative. ... Multilateral debt cancellation through the use of own resources is a way of redressing this imbalance and is perhaps an additional motivating factor in the recent momentum behind the proposal. This would also help reduce moral hazard inherent in a system where the multilateral organizations can expect to be repaid despite having made some irresponsible lending decisions.

4. The problems with existing debt mechanisms

In 1996, an average of $136 million was being transferred every day from the 61 poorest countries (including HIPCs) to wealthy countries in the form of total debt servicing. In 2002, the figure stood at a not much lower flow of $121 million every day. Most of the reduction has come through debt relief provided to some of these countries under the HIPC mechanism.

Despite this, the HIPC group of countries is still paying almost $8 billion (2002) in debt servicing (interest and principal repayments). While this is less than the over $10 billion of debt service paid in 1995 it is hardly the radical reduction that is needed by the countries and does not meet the 'deeper, broader and faster debt relief' theme of the HIPC process[11].

In fact, this figure constitutes about 75% of the total (non-technical) grant flow of $10.3 billion that reached the HIPCs in 2002. This part of the grant flow represents the amount of aid money that is potentially available for use on meeting the MDGs. This implies that about 75% of the usable grant flows is immediately recycled back into debt repayments for the HIPC group.

Of the countries that have already reached HIPC decision point, 4 countries (Mali, Niger, Sierra Leone and Zambia) actually have annual debt service payments due in 2003-2005 that are higher than their annual debt services paid in 1998-2000; 5 countries, Ethiopia, Guinea-Bissau, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Uganda are paying almost as much in debt service payments as before HIPC.

Debt levels post-HIPC remain unsustainable in many countries. Uganda currently has debt to exports ratio of 300%, and Ethiopia will not reach the HIPC target of 150% until 2020 even after top up debt relief it received at completion point.[12] On average HIPC countries in Africa are still spending 15% of their revenue on servicing debt, with some (e.g. the Gambia) spending over 25%.

...

5. Benefits of Multilateral Debt Cancellation

The following graph clearly shows that most HIPC debt stock reduction to date has come in the form of writing off debt in arrears - cancelling debt that was not being repaid in any case. In fact, more than 80% of the debt stock reduction thus far can be accounted for by a reduction in arrears. ...

Cancellation of multilateral debt should be given top priority since it is mostly not in arrears. Thus the cancellation of multilateral debt would actually release additional resources rather than resulting in just a decrease in arrears as has happened under the HIPC process thus far. It is critical to ensure that these additional resources are then not diverted into starting to service debt in arrears but that they are used for development expenditure.

MFIs are de facto treated as preferred creditors. Historically, even when countries have defaulted on both private and official repayment obligations they have continued to repay multilateral debt. This is because a default on multilateral debt obligation would result in a country being cut off completely from international credit and leave it unable to access much needed funds. ...

... $1 of bilateral debt cancellation has released less than $1 of resources as a significant part of the debt owed was already not being repaid. In fact for some countries, the HIPC process has increased the debt servicing burden. On the other hand, every $1 of multilateral debt relief would release $1 in resources that are available for meeting the MDGs as most multilateral debt was being repaid regularly by the HIPC countries even before the HIPC initiative. This makes multilateral debt relief the most efficient form of debt relief.

Multilateral debt cancellation is an effective contribution to development financing. Unlike aid flows - a third of which are in the form of 'tied aid' or 'technical assistance' - all resources allocated to multilateral debt cancellation end up in the budget of the recipient country and hence can be used for development purposes.

6. Prospects for Multilateral Debt Cancellation

Both British Treasurer Gordon Brown, and the US Treasury Secretary John Snow, made public statements about the need for 100% debt cancellation of multilateral debt of the poorest countries before the IMF and World Bank AGMs last September. Since then Gordon Brown has produced a draft proposal and is seeking support from other rich countries. The US has not published a written proposal to date.

Among the questions debt campaigners are asking in relation to these proposals are:

  • which countries will be eligible for cancellation
  • what conditions will countries have to fulfil in order to become eligible
  • how much debt will be cancelled
  • how will the debt cancellation be financed - will it be funded with new money or will it be funded out of current aid.

Debt and Development Coalition Ireland:

# calls for cancellation of unpayable multilateral debt

# calls for the establishment of a fair and transparent process to deal with debt

# proposes that the sale of IMF gold should be the first port of call for financing multilateral debt cancellation

The sale of IMF gold can mobilize as much as $35 billion. Either the principal raised or the interest earned on invested principal can be used for the cancellation of multilateral debt owed not just to the IMF but also to other multilateral institutions. A major advantage of this proposal is that this source of funds would be additional and hence not come at the cost of other development monies.

The next G8 meeting is in Scotland in July 2005. This will be their opportunity to take the decisive step to cancel unpayable multilateral debt.


[1] E.g. African Development Bank, Inter American Development Bank

[2] Odious debt can be defined as debt lent to repressive regimes from which the people did not benefit. Subsequent governments should not be held responsible for debts accrued by such regimes, eg. Iraq

[3] under the Heavily Indebted Poor Country Initiative a country's debt is considered 'payable' or sustainable if the ratio of debt to exports is below 150%

[4] Moral hazard is the irresponsible behaviour that results from the knowledge that one would not be held to account for one's actions

[5] See 'The Unbreakable Link' - Romilly Greenhill Jubilee Research and 'Resource Rich BWIs, 100% Debt cancellation and the MDGs' - Sony Kapoor Jubilee Research

[6] http://www.millenniumcampaign.org

[7] Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Netherlands 'Results of Intenational Debt Relief l990-1999' 2004 page 3
http://www.euforic.org/iob

[8] For a full list see
http://www.worldbank.org/data/countryclass/classgroups.htm

[9] Ministry of Foreign Affairs Netherlands 'Results of International Debt Relief 1990-1999' 2004 page 146

[10] NPV - Net Present Value. All debt is not the same and it varies in terms of the interest rates, the period of repayment and other terms. In order to ensure comparability between debts owed at different terms, finance professionals use the concept of the Net Present Value which uses some assumptions to define how much the debt issued under various terms would be worth today.


AfricaFocus Bulletin is an independent electronic publication providing reposted commentary and analysis on African issues, with a particular focus on U.S. and international policies. AfricaFocus Bulletin is edited by William Minter.

AfricaFocus Bulletin can be reached at africafocus@igc.org. Please write to this address to subscribe or unsubscribe to the bulletin, or to suggest material for inclusion. For more information about reposted material, please contact directly the original source mentioned. For a full archive and other resources, see http://www.africafocus.org